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Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity

Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity score 24 out of 100, which is moderate exposure to AI. That ranks #595 of 923 US occupations, where #1 is the most exposed. Of the 15 tasks in this job, AI could speed up 3 on its own and 1 more with extra software built on top of it. In April–May 2026, 2 of these tasks showed up in real conversations with Claude, Anthropic's AI assistant.

24/ 100
Moderate
Rank
#595of 923 jobs
US workers
159,240BLS, May 2025
Median pay
$59,050a year
In real AI use
2 of 15tasks, April–May 2026

Task by task

Each task this job involves, as listed by O*NET, rated on whether a large language model like GPT-4 could cut the time it takes by at least half at the same quality. Tasks marked Seen in real AI use appeared in conversations with Claude in April–May 2026 (Anthropic Economic Index).

  • AI can speed this up on its own: 3 (20%)
  • AI can speed this up with extra software: 1 (7%)
  • Little or no AI speed-up: 11 (73%)
  • Announce stops to passengers.AI can speed this up on its own · core task
  • Report delays or accidents.AI can speed this up on its own · core task · Seen in real AI use
  • Record information, such as cash receipts and ticket fares, and maintain log book.AI can speed this up on its own · core task · Seen in real AI use
  • Read maps to plan bus routes.AI can speed this up with extra software · supplemental task
  • Drive vehicles over specified routes or to specified destinations according to time schedules, complying with traffic regulations to ensure that passengers have a smooth and safe ride.Little or no AI speed-up · core task
  • Park vehicles at loading areas so that passengers can board.Little or no AI speed-up · core task
  • Inspect vehicles and check gas, oil, and water levels prior to departure.Little or no AI speed-up · core task
  • Assist passengers, such as elderly or disabled individuals, on and off bus, ensure they are seated properly, help carry baggage, and answer questions about bus schedules or routes.Little or no AI speed-up · core task
  • Collect tickets or cash fares from passengers.Little or no AI speed-up · core task
  • Handle passenger emergencies or disruptions.Little or no AI speed-up · core task
  • Advise passengers to be seated and orderly while on vehicles.Little or no AI speed-up · core task
  • Regulate heating, lighting, and ventilating systems for passenger comfort.Little or no AI speed-up · core task
  • Maintain cleanliness of bus or motor coach.Little or no AI speed-up · core task
  • Load and unload baggage in baggage compartments.Little or no AI speed-up · supplemental task
  • Make minor repairs to vehicle and change tires.Little or no AI speed-up · supplemental task

Similar jobs, lower exposure

Related occupations that score at least 10 points lower.

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Questions about bus drivers, transit and intercity and AI

Will AI replace bus drivers, transit and intercity?

Unlikely. Most of the work is hard for today's AI to speed up. Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity score 24 out of 100 (moderate exposure), #595 of 923 US jobs. AI could speed up 4 of the job's 15 tasks, 3 of them on its own, while 11 see little or no speed-up. Exposure means the work is likely to change, not that the job will disappear.

Which bus drivers, transit and intercity tasks can AI do?

The most exposed tasks include "Announce stops to passengers"; "Report delays or accidents"; "Record information, such as cash receipts and ticket fares, and maintain log book".

Which bus drivers, transit and intercity tasks are hardest for AI?

Tasks with little or no AI speed-up include "Drive vehicles over specified routes or to specified destinations according to time schedules, complying with traffic regulations to ensure that passengers have a smooth and safe ride"; "Park vehicles at loading areas so that passengers can board"; "Inspect vehicles and check gas, oil, and water levels prior to departure".

Are people already using AI for this work?

Yes. In April–May 2026, 2 of the 15 tasks showed up in real conversations with Claude, according to the Anthropic Economic Index.

How many people work as bus drivers, transit and intercity, and what do they earn?

About 159,240 people in the US, with median pay of $59,050 a year (BLS, May 2025).

How to read this score. Exposure measures how much of the work AI could speed up, not whether the job will disappear. A highly exposed job can change shape, with people spending less time on routine tasks and more on the rest. The score counts tasks AI can speed up on its own in full, and tasks that need extra software at half weight.

The ratings come from published research based on GPT-4 (2023). To show what's happening now, each task is also checked against the latest Anthropic Economic Index, which records which tasks people actually use AI for. That data is refreshed automatically when Anthropic publishes a new release. Read the full method.

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