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Commercial and Industrial Designers

Commercial and Industrial Designers score 47 out of 100, which is elevated exposure to AI. That ranks #317 of 923 US occupations, where #1 is the most exposed. Of the 17 tasks in this job, AI could speed up 0 on its own and 16 more with extra software built on top of it. In April–May 2026, 8 of these tasks showed up in real conversations with Claude, Anthropic's AI assistant.

47/ 100
Elevated
Rank
#317of 923 jobs
US workers
33,490BLS, May 2025
Median pay
$83,910a year
In real AI use
8 of 17tasks, April–May 2026

Task by task

Each task this job involves, as listed by O*NET, rated on whether a large language model like GPT-4 could cut the time it takes by at least half at the same quality. Tasks marked Seen in real AI use appeared in conversations with Claude in April–May 2026 (Anthropic Economic Index).

  • AI can speed this up on its own: 0 (0%)
  • AI can speed this up with extra software: 16 (94%)
  • Little or no AI speed-up: 1 (6%)
  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.AI can speed this up with extra software · core task · Seen in real AI use
  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.AI can speed this up with extra software · core task · Seen in real AI use
  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.AI can speed this up with extra software · core task · Seen in real AI use
  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.AI can speed this up with extra software · core task
  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.AI can speed this up with extra software · core task · Seen in real AI use
  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.AI can speed this up with extra software · core task · Seen in real AI use
  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.AI can speed this up with extra software · core task
  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.AI can speed this up with extra software · core task
  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.AI can speed this up with extra software · core task
  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.AI can speed this up with extra software · core task · Seen in real AI use
  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.AI can speed this up with extra software · core task
  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.AI can speed this up with extra software · supplemental task
  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.AI can speed this up with extra software · supplemental task · Seen in real AI use
  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.AI can speed this up with extra software · supplemental task
  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.AI can speed this up with extra software · supplemental task
  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.AI can speed this up with extra software · supplemental task · Seen in real AI use
  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.Little or no AI speed-up · core task

Similar jobs, lower exposure

Related occupations that score at least 10 points lower.

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Questions about commercial and industrial designers and AI

Will AI replace commercial and industrial designers?

Not entirely. Parts of the job are likely to change as AI takes over routine tasks. Commercial and Industrial Designers score 47 out of 100 (elevated exposure), #317 of 923 US jobs. AI could speed up 16 of the job's 17 tasks, 0 of them on its own, while 1 see little or no speed-up. Exposure means the work is likely to change, not that the job will disappear.

Which commercial and industrial designers tasks can AI do?

The most exposed tasks include "Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment"; "Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends"; "Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics".

Which commercial and industrial designers tasks are hardest for AI?

Tasks with little or no AI speed-up include "Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools".

Are people already using AI for this work?

Yes. In April–May 2026, 8 of the 17 tasks showed up in real conversations with Claude, according to the Anthropic Economic Index.

How many people work as commercial and industrial designers, and what do they earn?

About 33,490 people in the US, with median pay of $83,910 a year (BLS, May 2025).

How to read this score. Exposure measures how much of the work AI could speed up, not whether the job will disappear. A highly exposed job can change shape, with people spending less time on routine tasks and more on the rest. The score counts tasks AI can speed up on its own in full, and tasks that need extra software at half weight.

The ratings come from published research based on GPT-4 (2023). To show what's happening now, each task is also checked against the latest Anthropic Economic Index, which records which tasks people actually use AI for. That data is refreshed automatically when Anthropic publishes a new release. Read the full method.

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