Will AI replace tool and die makers?
Unlikely. Most of the work is hard for today's AI to speed up. Tool and Die Makers score 19 out of 100 (low exposure), #645 of 923 US jobs. AI could speed up 5 of the job's 17 tasks, 2 of them on its own, while 12 see little or no speed-up. Exposure means the work is likely to change, not that the job will disappear.
Which tool and die makers tasks can AI do?
The most exposed tasks include "Set up and operate conventional or computer numerically controlled machine tools such as lathes, milling machines, or grinders to cut, bore, grind, or otherwise shape parts to prescribed dimensions and finishes"; "Develop and design new tools and dies, using computer-aided design software".
Which tool and die makers tasks are hardest for AI?
Tasks with little or no AI speed-up include "Verify dimensions, alignments, and clearances of finished parts for conformance to specifications, using measuring instruments such as calipers, gauge blocks, micrometers, or dial indicators"; "Fit and assemble parts to make, repair, or modify dies, jigs, gauges, and tools, using machine tools, hand tools, or welders"; "Select metals to be used from a range of metals and alloys, based on properties such as hardness or heat tolerance".
Are people already using AI for this work?
Yes. In April–May 2026, 1 of the 17 tasks showed up in real conversations with Claude, according to the Anthropic Economic Index.
How many people work as tool and die makers, and what do they earn?
About 56,930 people in the US, with median pay of $64,050 a year (BLS, May 2025).